Kolos Kovalivka vs Karpaty Lviv

11 Sep 2026 · 12:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.6 pp

Kolos Kovalivka

Karpaty Lviv

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 29.3% DRAW 27.7% AWAY 43.0%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 28.7% 3.32 DRAW 27.8% 3.43 AWAY 43.5% 2.19

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.6 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Karpaty Lviv

The away side shows the stronger recent attacking profile, while the defensive comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Kolos Kovalivka Karpaty Lviv

Shots 7.0 · On target 3.3 Shots 10.3 · On target 4.5

Recent attacking output favours Karpaty Lviv, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Kolos Kovalivka Karpaty Lviv

Shots allowed 6.5 · On target allowed 2.0 Shots allowed 8.5 · On target allowed 3.0

Kolos Kovalivka has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Kolos Kovalivka Karpaty Lviv

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away strengthening

Kolos Kovalivka ↑ +0.52 (+18.6%)

Karpaty Lviv ↓ -0.26 (-10.6%)

The away price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the away side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.