Al Fath U19 vs Al Jazira SC U19

11 Sep 2026 · 15:40

OPPORTUNITY

SLIGHT EDGE HOME +3.7 pp

Al Fath U19

Al Jazira SC U19

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 19.3% DRAW 21.0% AWAY 59.8%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 15.6% 5.86 DRAW 20.3% 4.50 AWAY 64.2% 1.42

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet sees a slight edge for Al Fath U19 relative to the market.

Our calibrated model estimates a 19.3% win probability, compared with 15.6% implied by the market. The 3.7 percentage-point difference suggests a modest divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Al Jazira SC U19

The home side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Al Fath U19 Al Jazira SC U19

Shots 3.3 · On target 1.3 Shots 5.0 · On target 2.3

Recent attacking output favours Al Jazira SC U19, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Al Fath U19 Al Jazira SC U19

Shots allowed 3.3 · On target allowed 1.3 Shots allowed 12.5 · On target allowed 5.0

Al Fath U19 has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Al Fath U19 Al Jazira SC U19

The combined recent performance profile favours Al Fath U19.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Al Fath U19 ↑ +0.65 (+12.5%)

Al Jazira SC U19 ↓ -0.05 (-3.4%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.