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USA UPSL · US

Shock City FC vs Lakeland United FC

11 Sep 2026 · 02:00
NEAR MARKET +1.2 pp
Shock City FC
Lakeland United FC
HOME 23.3% DRAW 16.7% AWAY 60.0%
HOME 23.1% 3.90 DRAW 18.0% 5.00 AWAY 58.8% 1.53

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.2 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Shock City FC

The away side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output
Shock City FC Lakeland United FC
Shots 4.3 · On target 3.0 Shots 3.8 · On target 2.3

Recent attacking output favours Shock City FC, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance
Shock City FC Lakeland United FC
Shots allowed 7.8 · On target allowed 4.8 Shots allowed 3.3 · On target allowed 1.8

Lakeland United FC has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence
Shock City FC Lakeland United FC

The combined recent performance profile favours Lakeland United FC.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Shock City FC = (0.0%)
Lakeland United FC = (0.0%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.