LD Sofala vs Black Bulls

20 Sep 2026 · 14:45

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.1 pp

LD Sofala

Black Bulls

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 20.0% DRAW 31.7% AWAY 48.3%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 20.7% 4.50 DRAW 31.1% 3.00 AWAY 48.2% 1.93

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.1 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Black Bulls

The away side shows the stronger recent attacking profile, while the defensive comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

LD Sofala Black Bulls

Shots 8.5 · On target 2.0 Shots 13.3 · On target 4.3

Recent attacking output favours Black Bulls, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

LD Sofala Black Bulls

Shots allowed 7.3 · On target allowed 1.3 Shots allowed 7.0 · On target allowed 2.3

LD Sofala has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

LD Sofala Black Bulls

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

LD Sofala ↓ -0.10 (-2.1%)

Black Bulls ↑ +0.10 (+5.5%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.