Ferroviario Lichinga vs Clube Ferroviário de Nacala

16 Sep 2026 · 14:45

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.2 pp

Ferroviario Lichinga

Clube Ferroviário de Nacala

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 52.9% DRAW 29.9% AWAY 17.2%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 52.7% 1.74 DRAW 29.6% 3.10 AWAY 17.8% 5.16

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.2 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Ferroviario Lichinga

Recent attacking and defensive numbers do not show a clear overall edge.

Attack Recent attacking output

Ferroviario Lichinga Clube Ferroviário de Nacala

Shots 9.0 · On target 4.0 Shots 3.5 · On target 0.8

Recent attacking output favours Ferroviario Lichinga, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Ferroviario Lichinga Clube Ferroviário de Nacala

Shots allowed 9.8 · On target allowed 2.0 Shots allowed 3.0 · On target allowed 2.3

Clube Ferroviário de Nacala has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Ferroviario Lichinga Clube Ferroviário de Nacala

The combined recent performance profile favours Ferroviario Lichinga.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Ferroviario Lichinga = (0.0%)

Clube Ferroviário de Nacala = (0.0%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.