LD Sofala vs Ferroviario Maputo

15 Sep 2026 · 14:45

OPPORTUNITY

LD Sofala

Ferroviario Maputo

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 37.0% DRAW 39.0% AWAY 24.0%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 38.1% 2.57 DRAW 37.3% 2.63 AWAY 24.5% 4.00

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.0 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Ferroviario Maputo

The away side shows the stronger recent attacking profile, while the defensive comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

LD Sofala Ferroviario Maputo

Shots 5.3 · On target 0.8 Shots 12.5 · On target 3.0

Recent attacking output favours Ferroviario Maputo, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

LD Sofala Ferroviario Maputo

Shots allowed 2.5 · On target allowed 0.3 Shots allowed 9.3 · On target allowed 2.3

LD Sofala has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

LD Sofala Ferroviario Maputo

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

LD Sofala ↑ +0.40 (+18.4%)

Ferroviario Maputo ↓ -0.17 (-4.1%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.