Dinamo Zagreb II vs NK Sesvete

11 Sep 2026 · 15:30

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.8 pp

Dinamo Zagreb II

NK Sesvete

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 45.3% DRAW 26.6% AWAY 28.1%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 44.4% 2.06 DRAW 27.0% 3.39 AWAY 28.6% 3.21

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.8 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Dinamo Zagreb II

Recent attacking and defensive numbers do not show a clear overall edge.

Attack Recent attacking output

Dinamo Zagreb II NK Sesvete

Shots 12.8 · On target 4.8 Shots 9.8 · On target 4.3

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Dinamo Zagreb II NK Sesvete

Shots allowed 9.5 · On target allowed 4.5 Shots allowed 9.0 · On target allowed 2.8

NK Sesvete has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Dinamo Zagreb II NK Sesvete

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home strengthening

Dinamo Zagreb II ↓ -0.34 (-14.2%)

NK Sesvete ↓ -0.15 (-4.3%)

The home price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the home side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.