Young Africans vs Gaborone United

12 Sep 2026 · 18:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +2.2 pp

Young Africans

Gaborone United

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 80.5% DRAW 13.4% AWAY 6.1%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 78.3% 1.23 DRAW 14.8% 6.50 AWAY 6.9% 14.00

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 2.2 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Defensive Edge: Young Africans

The home side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Young Africans Gaborone United

Shots 12.0 · On target 6.3 Shots 13.5 · On target 4.8

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Young Africans Gaborone United

Shots allowed 3.8 · On target allowed 0.8 Shots allowed 11.8 · On target allowed 4.5

Young Africans has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Young Africans Gaborone United

The combined recent performance profile favours Young Africans.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home strengthening

Young Africans ↓ -0.24 (-16.3%)

Gaborone United ↑ +6.80 (+94.4%)

The home price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the home side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.