Widzew Lodz II vs Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki

11 Sep 2026 · 13:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.9 pp

Widzew Lodz II

Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 37.5% DRAW 23.5% AWAY 39.0%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 38.6% 2.36 DRAW 24.3% 3.75 AWAY 37.2% 2.45

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.9 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki has the stronger recent profile

The away side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Widzew Lodz II Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki

Shots 13.0 · On target 5.3 Shots 17.0 · On target 6.3

Recent attacking output favours Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Widzew Lodz II Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki

Shots allowed 11.8 · On target allowed 4.0 Shots allowed 9.8 · On target allowed 3.8

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Widzew Lodz II Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Widzew Lodz II ↑ +0.01 (+0.4%)

Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki ↑ +0.10 (+4.3%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.