Deportivo Recoleta Reserves vs Sportivo Trinidense Reserves

11 Sep 2026 · 13:00

OPPORTUNITY

SLIGHT EDGE HOME +2.8 pp

Deportivo Recoleta Reserves

Sportivo Trinidense Reserves

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 55.3% DRAW 24.0% AWAY 20.7%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 52.5% 1.81 DRAW 25.0% 3.80 AWAY 22.5% 4.22

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet sees a slight edge for Deportivo Recoleta Reserves relative to the market.

Our calibrated model estimates a 55.3% win probability, compared with 52.5% implied by the market. The 2.8 percentage-point difference suggests a modest divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Mixed Performance

Recent attacking and defensive numbers do not show a clear overall edge.

Attack Recent attacking output

Deportivo Recoleta Reserves Sportivo Trinidense Reserves

Shots 8.5 · On target 1.3 Shots 7.5 · On target 3.3

Recent attacking output favours Sportivo Trinidense Reserves, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Deportivo Recoleta Reserves Sportivo Trinidense Reserves

Shots allowed 8.3 · On target allowed 6.0 Shots allowed 18.5 · On target allowed 5.8

Deportivo Recoleta Reserves has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Deportivo Recoleta Reserves Sportivo Trinidense Reserves

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Deportivo Recoleta Reserves = (0.0%)

Sportivo Trinidense Reserves ↑ +0.09 (+2.1%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.