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UEFA Youth League · EU

Fenerbahce U19 vs Slavia Prague U19

20 Oct 2026 · 13:00
FOOTBALL MATCH INTELLIGENCE · MATCH OVERVIEW

Recent Match Performance

Across 6 and 6 recent matches with recorded scores, respectively, the home side won 2 and the visitors won 2.

Across 4 matches with complete shooting data, the home side averaged 8.5 shots per match and conceded 8 goals in that sample. Across 6 such matches, the visitors averaged 12.2 shots per match and conceded 8 goals.

In recent matches with recorded scores, the home side averaged 2.67 goals per match, against a weighted league reference of 1.75. The visitors averaged 1.67 goals per match, against their weighted league reference of 1.67.

Model & Market Perspective

The largest positive model-market difference concerns an away win for Slavia Prague U19. StochasticBet assigns this outcome a probability of 42.8%, compared with 40.4% in the margin-adjusted Pinnacle market assessment (a difference of +2.4 percentage points).

Across recent matches with recorded shooting data, Fenerbahce U19 averaged 8.5 shots per match and Slavia Prague U19 averaged 12.2. The visitors' higher shooting volume offers some support for the model-market difference.

Pre-Match Betting Perspective

Despite the positive model-market difference, the available Pinnacle pre-match reference odds of 2.24 do not exceed the model's estimated fair odds of approximately 2.34. At this price, an away win for Slavia Prague U19 does not appear sufficiently attractive. A more favourable price before kick-off would be needed.

Statistical Context & Data Notes

Historical samples may involve different opponents, competitions and dates; shared fixtures are not independent. Missing shooting data are excluded. No xG, shot-quality or opponent-strength adjustment. Editorial selection thresholds are not significance tests; no prediction is implied.

Historical performance provides context rather than a prediction of the final result.

FOOTBALL MATCH INTELLIGENCE

Model vs Market

MARKET · PINNACLE
HOME
Fenerbahce U19
STOCHASTICBET 34.4%
PINNACLE 36.6% odd 2.47
DIFFERENCE -2.3 pp
DRAW
Draw
STOCHASTICBET 22.9%
PINNACLE 23.0% odd 3.93
DIFFERENCE -0.2 pp
AWAY MODEL > MARKET
Slavia Prague U19
STOCHASTICBET 42.8%
PINNACLE 40.4% odd 2.24
DIFFERENCE +2.4 pp
STOCHASTICBET
PINNACLE MARKET
Market · PINNACLE Snapshot · 19 Oct 2026 · 15:01
PERFORMANCE · LAST 4 MATCHES

Slavia Prague U19 has the stronger recent profile

The away side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output
Fenerbahce U19 Slavia Prague U19
Shots 8.5 · On target 5.0 Shots 15.5 · On target 7.5

Recent attacking output favours Slavia Prague U19, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance
Fenerbahce U19 Slavia Prague U19
Shots allowed 13.0 · On target allowed 6.0 Shots allowed 11.5 · On target allowed 4.8

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence
Fenerbahce U19 Slavia Prague U19

The combined recent performance profile favours Slavia Prague U19.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

Market Momentum

Normalized implied probability movement · percentage points · as of 2026-10-19 21:53:03

6h window

OutcomePinnacleBet365
HOME +0.00 pp +0.00 pp
DRAW +0.00 pp +0.00 pp
AWAY +0.00 pp +0.00 pp

No qualified strong agreement in this window.

24h window

OutcomePinnacleBet365
HOME — —
DRAW — —
AWAY — —

No qualified strong agreement in this window.

Based on available observation endpoints; continuous coverage is not verified. Unavailable values are not zero movements. Market movement is descriptive, not a prediction.

Explore recent match statisticsCharts and detailed data
RECENT FORM · LAST 6 MATCHES

Recent matches compared

These charts compare recent performance with the league average. The central line represents the benchmark: values to the right are higher and values to the left are lower. Higher values are not always better, particularly for defensive metrics.
Benchmark: UEFA Youth League · 42 matches with scores · 41 with shots · coverage 97.6%.
Historical window: 180 days before kickoff. Shooting benchmarks require at least 30 complete matches.

How have the teams performed recently?

Most recent first · W win · D draw · L loss

Fenerbahce U196 matches · 3 home / 3 away
DLWWLL
Shot data available for 4/6 matches
Slavia Prague U196 matches · 2 home / 4 away
DWWLDL
Shot data available for 6/6 matches

Shots taken

Shots per match · difference from league average

0 = league average
Fenerbahce U19Home team
−1.48.5 actual
Slavia Prague U19Away team
+2.012.2 actual
Fenerbahce U19: 8.5 · league average 9.9 · 4 valid matchesSlavia Prague U19: 12.2 · league average 10.2 · 6 valid matches

Shots conceded

Opposition shots per match · difference from league average

0 = league average
Fenerbahce U19Home team
+1.013.0 actual
Slavia Prague U19Away team
−1.310.3 actual
Fenerbahce U19: 13.0 · league average 12.0 · 4 valid matchesSlavia Prague U19: 10.3 · league average 11.6 · 6 valid matches

Shots on target

Shots on target per match · difference from league average

0 = league average
Fenerbahce U19Home team
+0.35.0 actual
Slavia Prague U19Away team
+1.26.2 actual
Fenerbahce U19: 5.0 · league average 4.8 · 4 valid matchesSlavia Prague U19: 6.2 · league average 4.9 · 6 valid matches

Shots on target conceded

Opposition shots on target per match · difference from league average

0 = league average
Fenerbahce U19Home team
+0.26.0 actual
Slavia Prague U19Away team
−1.14.5 actual
Fenerbahce U19: 6.0 · league average 5.8 · 4 valid matchesSlavia Prague U19: 4.5 · league average 5.6 · 6 valid matches

Goals scored

Goals per match · difference from league average

0 = league average
Fenerbahce U19Home team
+0.922.67 actual
Slavia Prague U19Away team
0.001.67 actual
Fenerbahce U19: 2.67 · league average 1.75 · 6 valid matchesSlavia Prague U19: 1.67 · league average 1.67 · 6 valid matches

Shot conversion

Goals per shot · difference from league average in percentage points

0 = league average
Fenerbahce U19Home team
+13.4 pp29.4% actual
Slavia Prague U19Away team
−2.2 pp13.7% actual
Fenerbahce U19: 29.4% · league average 16.0% · 4 valid matchesSlavia Prague U19: 13.7% · league average 15.9% · 6 valid matches

Goals conceded per shots faced

Goals conceded per opposition shot · difference from league average in percentage points

0 = league average
Fenerbahce U19Home team
−0.4 pp15.4% actual
Slavia Prague U19Away team
−2.9 pp12.9% actual
Fenerbahce U19: 15.4% · league average 15.8% · 4 valid matchesSlavia Prague U19: 12.9% · league average 15.8% · 6 valid matches

Individual match details

Fenerbahce U19 · individual matches
DateVenueResultShots for/againstOn target for/against
17/10/2026Home1–1——
14/10/2026Away1–210 / 125 / 3
10/10/2026Away6–013 / 109 / 3
20/09/2026Home5–1——
14/09/2026Away1–28 / 164 / 9
10/09/2026Home2–43 / 142 / 9
Slavia Prague U19 · individual matches
DateVenueResultShots for/againstOn target for/against
17/10/2026Away1–110 / 95 / 3
13/10/2026Away3–017 / 98 / 3
09/10/2026Home4–119 / 611 / 2
19/09/2026Away1–316 / 226 / 11
16/09/2026Away1–11 / 11 / 1
12/09/2026Home0–210 / 156 / 7

The recent matches are the latest available before kickoff within the historical window and may include other competitions. The benchmark refers to the event league and is weighted by the home/away composition of the recent sample. Goals and shots may have different data coverage; conversion rates use only matches with paired observations. Benchmarks are reconstructed from match dates rather than certified data-capture timestamps. Opponent strength and chance quality (xG) are not adjusted for. Some statistics may be incomplete or anomalous. These indicators are descriptive, not predictive.