Lokomotiv Tashkent vs Mashal Mubarek

11 Sep 2026 · 16:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +2.2 pp

Lokomotiv Tashkent

Mashal Mubarek

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 75.6% DRAW 16.0% AWAY 8.4%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 73.4% 1.30 DRAW 17.3% 5.50 AWAY 9.3% 10.30

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 2.2 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Lokomotiv Tashkent has the stronger recent profile

The home side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Lokomotiv Tashkent Mashal Mubarek

Shots 8.3 · On target 5.3 Shots 8.0 · On target 2.8

Recent attacking output favours Lokomotiv Tashkent, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Lokomotiv Tashkent Mashal Mubarek

Shots allowed 8.5 · On target allowed 3.3 Shots allowed 13.3 · On target allowed 5.5

Lokomotiv Tashkent has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Lokomotiv Tashkent Mashal Mubarek

The combined recent performance profile favours Lokomotiv Tashkent.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away strengthening

Lokomotiv Tashkent ↑ +0.06 (+4.8%)

Mashal Mubarek ↓ -1.20 (-10.5%)

The away price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the away side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.