SU 1 Dezembro vs Amora

13 Sep 2026 · 16:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.7 pp

SU 1 Dezembro

Amora

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 33.7% DRAW 28.5% AWAY 37.8%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 33.0% 2.85 DRAW 28.5% 3.30 AWAY 38.4% 2.45

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.7 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Amora

Recent attacking and defensive numbers do not show a clear overall edge.

Attack Recent attacking output

SU 1 Dezembro Amora

Shots 8.8 · On target 2.8 Shots 11.8 · On target 4.8

Recent attacking output favours Amora, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

SU 1 Dezembro Amora

Shots allowed 8.5 · On target allowed 4.3 Shots allowed 12.0 · On target allowed 5.5

SU 1 Dezembro has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

SU 1 Dezembro Amora

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away strengthening

SU 1 Dezembro ↑ +0.35 (+14.0%)

Amora ↓ -0.39 (-13.7%)

The away price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the away side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.