KF Ballkani vs KF Dukagjini

14 Sep 2026 · 16:00

OPPORTUNITY

SLIGHT EDGE HOME +3.5 pp

KF Ballkani

KF Dukagjini

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 45.8% DRAW 27.9% AWAY 26.3%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 42.3% 2.15 DRAW 28.4% 3.20 AWAY 29.3% 3.11

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet sees a slight edge for KF Ballkani relative to the market.

Our calibrated model estimates a 45.8% win probability, compared with 42.3% implied by the market. The 3.5 percentage-point difference suggests a modest divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

KF Ballkani has the stronger recent profile

The home side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

KF Ballkani KF Dukagjini

Shots 12.5 · On target 5.5 Shots 7.8 · On target 3.0

Recent attacking output favours KF Ballkani, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

KF Ballkani KF Dukagjini

Shots allowed 9.0 · On target allowed 4.3 Shots allowed 10.5 · On target allowed 5.0

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

KF Ballkani KF Dukagjini

The combined recent performance profile favours KF Ballkani.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

KF Ballkani ↑ +0.05 (+2.4%)

KF Dukagjini ↑ +0.11 (+3.5%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.