Academia Costa Del Este vs Chorrillo

11 Sep 2026 · 16:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.1 pp

Academia Costa Del Este

Chorrillo

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 51.8% DRAW 25.5% AWAY 22.6%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 52.8% 1.75 DRAW 25.6% 3.60 AWAY 21.6% 4.27

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.1 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Mixed Performance

The overall recent shot balance favours the away side, although neither attack nor defence dominates every measure.

Attack Recent attacking output

Academia Costa Del Este Chorrillo

Shots 8.0 · On target 4.0 Shots 9.8 · On target 3.8

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Academia Costa Del Este Chorrillo

Shots allowed 6.3 · On target allowed 3.8 Shots allowed 6.8 · On target allowed 1.3

Chorrillo has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Academia Costa Del Este Chorrillo

The combined recent performance profile favours Chorrillo.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away strengthening

Academia Costa Del Este ↑ +0.18 (+11.1%)

Chorrillo ↓ -0.23 (-5.1%)

The away price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the away side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.