KF Llapi vs Malisheva

14 Sep 2026 · 16:00

OPPORTUNITY

SLIGHT EDGE AWAY +3.2 pp

KF Llapi

Malisheva

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 29.2% DRAW 27.2% AWAY 43.6%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 31.9% 2.85 DRAW 27.7% 3.28 AWAY 40.4% 2.25

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet sees a slight edge for Malisheva relative to the market.

Our calibrated model estimates a 43.6% win probability, compared with 40.4% implied by the market. The 3.2 percentage-point difference suggests a modest divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Malisheva

The away side shows the stronger recent attacking profile, while the defensive comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

KF Llapi Malisheva

Shots 7.3 · On target 3.0 Shots 14.3 · On target 8.3

Recent attacking output favours Malisheva, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

KF Llapi Malisheva

Shots allowed 9.3 · On target allowed 3.5 Shots allowed 9.3 · On target allowed 3.8

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

KF Llapi Malisheva

The combined recent performance profile favours Malisheva.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

KF Llapi ↑ +0.10 (+3.5%)

Malisheva = (0.0%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.