Sparta Petegem vs KRC Gent Zeehaven

12 Sep 2026 · 20:00

OPPORTUNITY

SLIGHT EDGE HOME +2.8 pp

Sparta Petegem

KRC Gent Zeehaven

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 47.3% DRAW 24.9% AWAY 27.8%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 44.5% 2.08 DRAW 25.7% 3.60 AWAY 29.8% 3.10

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet sees a slight edge for Sparta Petegem relative to the market.

Our calibrated model estimates a 47.3% win probability, compared with 44.5% implied by the market. The 2.8 percentage-point difference suggests a modest divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Sparta Petegem

The home side shows the stronger recent attacking profile, while the defensive comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Sparta Petegem KRC Gent Zeehaven

Shots 17.3 · On target 6.3 Shots 9.0 · On target 5.3

Recent attacking output favours Sparta Petegem, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Sparta Petegem KRC Gent Zeehaven

Shots allowed 8.0 · On target allowed 2.0 Shots allowed 4.8 · On target allowed 2.3

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Sparta Petegem KRC Gent Zeehaven

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Sparta Petegem ↑ +0.08 (+4.0%)

KRC Gent Zeehaven ↑ +0.10 (+3.3%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.