Manama vs Al Ittifaq Maqaba

12 Sep 2026 · 18:00

OPPORTUNITY

SLIGHT EDGE AWAY +2.9 pp

Manama

Al Ittifaq Maqaba

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 30.0% DRAW 26.0% AWAY 44.0%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 32.3% 2.80 DRAW 26.6% 3.40 AWAY 41.1% 2.20

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet sees a slight edge for Al Ittifaq Maqaba relative to the market.

Our calibrated model estimates a 44.0% win probability, compared with 41.1% implied by the market. The 2.9 percentage-point difference suggests a modest divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Al Ittifaq Maqaba has the stronger recent profile

The away side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Manama Al Ittifaq Maqaba

Shots 7.0 · On target 3.5 Shots 12.5 · On target 4.3

Recent attacking output favours Al Ittifaq Maqaba, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Manama Al Ittifaq Maqaba

Shots allowed 12.0 · On target allowed 5.0 Shots allowed 9.5 · On target allowed 2.5

Al Ittifaq Maqaba has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Manama Al Ittifaq Maqaba

The combined recent performance profile favours Al Ittifaq Maqaba.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Manama ↓ -0.10 (-3.4%)

Al Ittifaq Maqaba ↑ +0.10 (+4.8%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.