Diepkloof FC (W) vs Mamelodi Sundowns (W)

11 Sep 2026 · 15:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.3 pp

Diepkloof FC (W)

Mamelodi Sundowns (W)

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 2.2% DRAW 8.4% AWAY 89.4%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 2.6% 36.00 DRAW 9.4% 10.00 AWAY 88.1% 1.06

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.3 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Mamelodi Sundowns (W) has the stronger recent profile

The away side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Diepkloof FC (W) Mamelodi Sundowns (W)

Shots 9.5 · On target 3.5 Shots 15.0 · On target 7.0

Recent attacking output favours Mamelodi Sundowns (W), combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Diepkloof FC (W) Mamelodi Sundowns (W)

Shots allowed 11.0 · On target allowed 5.0 Shots allowed 2.5 · On target allowed 1.3

Mamelodi Sundowns (W) has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Diepkloof FC (W) Mamelodi Sundowns (W)

The combined recent performance profile favours Mamelodi Sundowns (W).

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home weakening

Diepkloof FC (W) ↑ +19.01 (+111.9%)

Mamelodi Sundowns (W) ↑ +0.01 (+1.0%)

The home price has moved clearly higher, while the away price has remained broadly stable.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.