Sporting Gijon B vs Llanes

13 Sep 2026 · 11:30

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.5 pp

Sporting Gijon B

Llanes

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 76.5% DRAW 16.0% AWAY 7.6%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 76.7% 1.21 DRAW 16.2% 5.75 AWAY 7.1% 13.10

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.5 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Sporting Gijon B

Recent attacking and defensive numbers do not show a clear overall edge.

Attack Recent attacking output

Sporting Gijon B Llanes

Shots 9.5 · On target 3.8 Shots 5.3 · On target 1.3

Recent attacking output favours Sporting Gijon B, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Sporting Gijon B Llanes

Shots allowed 9.3 · On target allowed 5.3 Shots allowed 5.8 · On target allowed 2.0

Llanes has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Sporting Gijon B Llanes

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home strengthening

Sporting Gijon B ↓ -0.07 (-5.2%)

Llanes ↑ +3.10 (+31.0%)

The home price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the home side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.