FF Jaro II vs Huima/Urho

12 Sep 2026 · 11:00

OPPORTUNITY

CLEAR EDGE AWAY +4.2 pp

FF Jaro II

Huima/Urho

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 11.3% DRAW 10.4% AWAY 78.3%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 13.4% 7.31 DRAW 12.5% 7.80 AWAY 74.1% 1.32

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet rates Huima/Urho clearly higher than the market does.

Our calibrated model estimates a 78.3% win probability, compared with 74.1% implied by the market. The 4.2 percentage-point difference indicates a clear divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Huima/Urho has the stronger recent profile

The away side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

FF Jaro II Huima/Urho

Shots 10.8 · On target 4.8 Shots 14.8 · On target 8.8

Recent attacking output favours Huima/Urho, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

FF Jaro II Huima/Urho

Shots allowed 19.0 · On target allowed 8.0 Shots allowed 10.5 · On target allowed 4.0

Huima/Urho has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

FF Jaro II Huima/Urho

The combined recent performance profile favours Huima/Urho.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home weakening

FF Jaro II ↑ +1.31 (+21.8%)

Huima/Urho ↑ +0.02 (+1.5%)

The home price has moved clearly higher, while the away price has remained broadly stable.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.