KP Starogard Gdanski vs Czarni Pruszcz Gdanski

11 Sep 2026 · 17:00

OPPORTUNITY

SLIGHT EDGE HOME +2.6 pp

KP Starogard Gdanski

Czarni Pruszcz Gdanski

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 26.9% DRAW 20.7% AWAY 52.4%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 24.3% 3.94 DRAW 21.2% 4.50 AWAY 54.5% 1.75

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet sees a slight edge for KP Starogard Gdanski relative to the market.

Our calibrated model estimates a 26.9% win probability, compared with 24.3% implied by the market. The 2.6 percentage-point difference suggests a modest divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: KP Starogard Gdanski

The home side shows the stronger recent attacking profile, while the defensive comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

KP Starogard Gdanski Czarni Pruszcz Gdanski

Shots 16.5 · On target 7.0 Shots 13.0 · On target 6.5

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

KP Starogard Gdanski Czarni Pruszcz Gdanski

Shots allowed 17.0 · On target allowed 7.8 Shots allowed 15.5 · On target allowed 8.5

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

KP Starogard Gdanski Czarni Pruszcz Gdanski

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home strengthening

KP Starogard Gdanski ↓ -1.07 (-21.3%)

Czarni Pruszcz Gdanski ↑ +0.35 (+25.1%)

The home price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the home side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.