Asuka FC vs FC Basara Hyogo

12 Sep 2026 · 11:00

OPPORTUNITY

CLEAR EDGE HOME +4.9 pp

Asuka FC

FC Basara Hyogo

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 27.3% DRAW 24.0% AWAY 48.6%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 22.5% 4.20 DRAW 23.6% 4.00 AWAY 53.9% 1.75

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet rates Asuka FC clearly higher than the market does.

Our calibrated model estimates a 27.3% win probability, compared with 22.5% implied by the market. The 4.9 percentage-point difference indicates a clear divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Asuka FC has the stronger recent profile

The home side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Asuka FC FC Basara Hyogo

Shots 13.0 · On target 5.5 Shots 9.8 · On target 4.0

Recent attacking output favours Asuka FC, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Asuka FC FC Basara Hyogo

Shots allowed 8.3 · On target allowed 2.5 Shots allowed 12.8 · On target allowed 5.5

Asuka FC has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Asuka FC FC Basara Hyogo

The combined recent performance profile favours Asuka FC.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Asuka FC ↓ -0.13 (-3.1%)

FC Basara Hyogo ↑ +0.20 (+13.0%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.