Cariari Pococi vs AD Carmelita

14 Sep 2026 · 00:30

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.8 pp

Cariari Pococi

AD Carmelita

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 40.5% DRAW 29.0% AWAY 30.6%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 41.3% 2.45 DRAW 28.9% 3.50 AWAY 29.8% 3.40

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.8 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: AD Carmelita

The away side shows the stronger recent attacking profile, while the defensive comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Cariari Pococi AD Carmelita

Shots 8.0 · On target 3.5 Shots 13.0 · On target 4.8

Recent attacking output favours AD Carmelita, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Cariari Pococi AD Carmelita

Shots allowed 7.8 · On target allowed 4.3 Shots allowed 11.3 · On target allowed 3.3

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Cariari Pococi AD Carmelita

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away strengthening

Cariari Pococi ↑ +0.50 (+28.6%)

AD Carmelita ↓ -0.35 (-9.3%)

The away price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the away side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.