FC Nordsjaelland (W) vs Midtjylland (W)

13 Sep 2026 · 14:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +2.2 pp

FC Nordsjaelland (W)

Midtjylland (W)

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 64.4% DRAW 19.5% AWAY 16.2%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 62.2% 1.44 DRAW 20.7% 4.33 AWAY 17.1% 5.25

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 2.2 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: FC Nordsjaelland (W)

The home side shows the stronger recent attacking profile, while the defensive comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

FC Nordsjaelland (W) Midtjylland (W)

Shots 19.3 · On target 10.8 Shots 15.0 · On target 8.3

Recent attacking output favours FC Nordsjaelland (W), combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

FC Nordsjaelland (W) Midtjylland (W)

Shots allowed 11.5 · On target allowed 5.5 Shots allowed 11.8 · On target allowed 4.5

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

FC Nordsjaelland (W) Midtjylland (W)

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home strengthening

FC Nordsjaelland (W) ↓ -0.13 (-8.1%)

Midtjylland (W) ↑ +1.05 (+25.0%)

The home price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the home side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.