Moca FC vs Cibao FC

14 Sep 2026 · 00:00

OPPORTUNITY

SLIGHT EDGE AWAY +3.7 pp

Moca FC

Cibao FC

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 25.0% DRAW 30.4% AWAY 44.5%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 28.5% 3.22 DRAW 30.6% 3.00 AWAY 40.8% 2.25

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet sees a slight edge for Cibao FC relative to the market.

Our calibrated model estimates a 44.5% win probability, compared with 40.8% implied by the market. The 3.7 percentage-point difference suggests a modest divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Cibao FC

The away side shows the stronger recent attacking profile, while the defensive comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Moca FC Cibao FC

Shots 7.8 · On target 2.3 Shots 21.0 · On target 8.3

Recent attacking output favours Cibao FC, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Moca FC Cibao FC

Shots allowed 8.3 · On target allowed 2.5 Shots allowed 10.3 · On target allowed 4.3

Moca FC has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Moca FC Cibao FC

The combined recent performance profile favours Cibao FC.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Moca FC = (0.0%)

Cibao FC = (0.0%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.