AS Gambarogno (W) vs Wil 1900 (W)

12 Sep 2026 · 20:00

OPPORTUNITY

SLIGHT EDGE AWAY +3.7 pp

AS Gambarogno (W)

Wil 1900 (W)

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 28.0% DRAW 23.5% AWAY 48.5%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 30.6% 3.00 DRAW 24.5% 3.75 AWAY 44.8% 2.05

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet sees a slight edge for Wil 1900 (W) relative to the market.

Our calibrated model estimates a 48.5% win probability, compared with 44.8% implied by the market. The 3.7 percentage-point difference suggests a modest divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Wil 1900 (W)

The away side shows the stronger recent attacking profile, while the defensive comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

AS Gambarogno (W) Wil 1900 (W)

Shots 2.0 · On target 1.0 Shots 16.8 · On target 6.8

Recent attacking output favours Wil 1900 (W), combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

AS Gambarogno (W) Wil 1900 (W)

Shots allowed 8.0 · On target allowed 3.5 Shots allowed 12.5 · On target allowed 6.0

AS Gambarogno (W) has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

AS Gambarogno (W) Wil 1900 (W)

The combined recent performance profile favours Wil 1900 (W).

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away strengthening

AS Gambarogno (W) ↑ +0.50 (+20.0%)

Wil 1900 (W) ↓ -0.20 (-8.9%)

The away price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the away side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.