AS GNN vs Tagour PC

11 Sep 2026 · 17:30

OPPORTUNITY

SLIGHT EDGE HOME +3.8 pp

AS GNN

Tagour PC

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 52.4% DRAW 28.2% AWAY 19.4%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 48.6% 1.85 DRAW 29.0% 3.10 AWAY 22.5% 4.00

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet sees a slight edge for AS GNN relative to the market.

Our calibrated model estimates a 52.4% win probability, compared with 48.6% implied by the market. The 3.8 percentage-point difference suggests a modest divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

AS GNN has the stronger recent profile

The home side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

AS GNN Tagour PC

Shots 10.5 · On target 4.5 Shots 2.8 · On target 1.3

Recent attacking output favours AS GNN, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

AS GNN Tagour PC

Shots allowed 5.3 · On target allowed 2.3 Shots allowed 5.8 · On target allowed 3.5

AS GNN has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

AS GNN Tagour PC

The combined recent performance profile favours AS GNN.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

AS GNN = (0.0%)

Tagour PC = (0.0%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.