ZNK Osijek (W) vs ZNK Split (W)

13 Sep 2026 · 11:00

OPPORTUNITY

SLIGHT EDGE HOME +3.8 pp

ZNK Osijek (W)

ZNK Split (W)

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 85.9% DRAW 9.4% AWAY 4.7%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 82.1% 1.14 DRAW 11.7% 8.00 AWAY 6.2% 15.00

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet sees a slight edge for ZNK Osijek (W) relative to the market.

Our calibrated model estimates a 85.9% win probability, compared with 82.1% implied by the market. The 3.8 percentage-point difference suggests a modest divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

ZNK Osijek (W) has the stronger recent profile

The home side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

ZNK Osijek (W) ZNK Split (W)

Shots 14.0 · On target 7.3 Shots 4.0 · On target 1.5

Recent attacking output favours ZNK Osijek (W), combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

ZNK Osijek (W) ZNK Split (W)

Shots allowed 7.8 · On target allowed 4.3 Shots allowed 11.5 · On target allowed 7.3

ZNK Osijek (W) has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

ZNK Osijek (W) ZNK Split (W)

The combined recent performance profile favours ZNK Osijek (W).

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

ZNK Osijek (W) ↑ +0.02 (+1.3%)

ZNK Split (W) = (0.0%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.