Verona (W) vs Cesena (W)

12 Sep 2026 · 18:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +2.2 pp

Verona (W)

Cesena (W)

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 12.4% DRAW 18.6% AWAY 69.0%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 13.5% 6.75 DRAW 19.7% 4.62 AWAY 66.8% 1.36

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 2.2 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Defensive Edge: Cesena (W)

The away side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Verona (W) Cesena (W)

Shots 11.0 · On target 5.8 Shots 11.3 · On target 5.5

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Verona (W) Cesena (W)

Shots allowed 14.3 · On target allowed 7.0 Shots allowed 6.3 · On target allowed 2.0

Cesena (W) has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Verona (W) Cesena (W)

The combined recent performance profile favours Cesena (W).

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Verona (W) ↑ +0.25 (+3.8%)

Cesena (W) ↑ +0.03 (+2.2%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.