ASD Seravezza Calcio vs Lucchese

12 Sep 2026 · 18:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +2.2 pp

ASD Seravezza Calcio

Lucchese

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 37.6% DRAW 27.5% AWAY 34.9%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 35.4% 2.65 DRAW 27.8% 3.38 AWAY 36.8% 2.55

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 2.2 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: ASD Seravezza Calcio

The home side shows the stronger recent attacking profile, while the defensive comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

ASD Seravezza Calcio Lucchese

Shots 14.8 · On target 5.0 Shots 4.3 · On target 1.8

Recent attacking output favours ASD Seravezza Calcio, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

ASD Seravezza Calcio Lucchese

Shots allowed 7.8 · On target allowed 3.8 Shots allowed 1.8 · On target allowed 0.5

Lucchese has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

ASD Seravezza Calcio Lucchese

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away strengthening

ASD Seravezza Calcio ↑ +0.45 (+20.5%)

Lucchese ↓ -0.61 (-19.2%)

The away price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the away side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.