ZNK Hajduk Split (W) vs HNK Gorica (W)

13 Sep 2026 · 11:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.7 pp

ZNK Hajduk Split (W)

HNK Gorica (W)

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 93.2% DRAW 4.9% AWAY 1.9%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 91.5% 1.04 DRAW 6.1% 15.50 AWAY 2.3% 41.00

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.7 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

ZNK Hajduk Split (W) has the stronger recent profile

The home side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

ZNK Hajduk Split (W) HNK Gorica (W)

Shots 11.8 · On target 5.0 Shots 4.8 · On target 2.3

Recent attacking output favours ZNK Hajduk Split (W), combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

ZNK Hajduk Split (W) HNK Gorica (W)

Shots allowed 6.5 · On target allowed 3.0 Shots allowed 12.0 · On target allowed 6.0

ZNK Hajduk Split (W) has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

ZNK Hajduk Split (W) HNK Gorica (W)

The combined recent performance profile favours ZNK Hajduk Split (W).

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away weakening

ZNK Hajduk Split (W) ↑ +0.02 (+2.0%)

HNK Gorica (W) ↑ +18.00 (+78.3%)

The away price has moved clearly higher, while the home price has remained broadly stable.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.