Iskierka Szczecin vs Orzel Walcz

12 Sep 2026 · 12:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.6 pp

Iskierka Szczecin

Orzel Walcz

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 60.3% DRAW 22.3% AWAY 17.4%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 58.7% 1.62 DRAW 23.1% 4.10 AWAY 18.1% 5.23

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.6 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Iskierka Szczecin

The home side shows the stronger recent attacking profile, while the defensive comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Iskierka Szczecin Orzel Walcz

Shots 15.8 · On target 6.3 Shots 0.5 · On target 0.5

Recent attacking output favours Iskierka Szczecin, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Iskierka Szczecin Orzel Walcz

Shots allowed 12.8 · On target allowed 4.8 Shots allowed 0.5 · On target allowed 0.5

Orzel Walcz has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Iskierka Szczecin Orzel Walcz

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away weakening

Iskierka Szczecin ↓ -0.05 (-2.7%)

Orzel Walcz ↑ +0.90 (+20.7%)

The away price has moved clearly higher, while the home price has remained broadly stable.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.