Samutsakhon City vs Suphanburi FC

12 Sep 2026 · 10:30

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.3 pp

Samutsakhon City

Suphanburi FC

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 45.1% DRAW 27.4% AWAY 27.5%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 44.8% 2.00 DRAW 27.6% 3.25 AWAY 27.6% 3.25

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.3 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Mixed Performance

The overall recent shot balance favours the away side, although neither attack nor defence dominates every measure.

Attack Recent attacking output

Samutsakhon City Suphanburi FC

Shots 9.0 · On target 3.5 Shots 7.0 · On target 3.8

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Samutsakhon City Suphanburi FC

Shots allowed 11.5 · On target allowed 4.3 Shots allowed 9.0 · On target allowed 4.5

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Samutsakhon City Suphanburi FC

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away strengthening

Samutsakhon City ↑ +0.33 (+20.0%)

Suphanburi FC ↓ -1.08 (-25.0%)

The away price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the away side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.