UDC Txantrea vs Cirbonero

12 Sep 2026 · 18:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.1 pp

UDC Txantrea

Cirbonero

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 40.6% DRAW 27.5% AWAY 31.8%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 40.5% 2.28 DRAW 27.8% 3.33 AWAY 31.7% 2.91

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.1 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: UDC Txantrea

The away side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

UDC Txantrea Cirbonero

Shots 7.8 · On target 3.3 Shots 3.3 · On target 1.0

Recent attacking output favours UDC Txantrea, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

UDC Txantrea Cirbonero

Shots allowed 8.3 · On target allowed 4.8 Shots allowed 3.5 · On target allowed 1.3

Cirbonero has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

UDC Txantrea Cirbonero

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away strengthening

UDC Txantrea ↑ +0.13 (+6.0%)

Cirbonero ↓ -0.22 (-7.0%)

The away price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the away side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.