Toledo vs Villarrubia CF

13 Sep 2026 · 19:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.0 pp

Toledo

Villarrubia CF

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 64.1% DRAW 24.1% AWAY 11.8%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 64.2% 1.42 DRAW 24.0% 3.80 AWAY 11.8% 7.75

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.0 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Toledo

The home side shows the stronger recent attacking profile, while the defensive comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Toledo Villarrubia CF

Shots 13.5 · On target 6.0 Shots 4.0 · On target 2.5

Recent attacking output favours Toledo, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Toledo Villarrubia CF

Shots allowed 12.0 · On target allowed 5.0 Shots allowed 4.3 · On target allowed 2.0

Villarrubia CF has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Toledo Villarrubia CF

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home strengthening

Toledo ↓ -0.15 (-9.6%)

Villarrubia CF ↑ +1.25 (+19.2%)

The home price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the home side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.