CD Luis Angel Firpo Reserves vs AD Isidro Metapan Reserves

13 Sep 2026 · 22:00

OPPORTUNITY

SLIGHT EDGE HOME +3.5 pp

CD Luis Angel Firpo Reserves

AD Isidro Metapan Reserves

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 32.6% DRAW 27.1% AWAY 40.3%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 29.2% 3.25 DRAW 27.0% 3.50 AWAY 43.8% 2.16

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet sees a slight edge for CD Luis Angel Firpo Reserves relative to the market.

Our calibrated model estimates a 32.6% win probability, compared with 29.2% implied by the market. The 3.5 percentage-point difference suggests a modest divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Defensive Edge: CD Luis Angel Firpo Reserves

The home side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

CD Luis Angel Firpo Reserves AD Isidro Metapan Reserves

Shots 10.0 · On target 3.0 Shots 10.0 · On target 4.3

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

CD Luis Angel Firpo Reserves AD Isidro Metapan Reserves

Shots allowed 8.3 · On target allowed 4.5 Shots allowed 14.0 · On target allowed 8.0

CD Luis Angel Firpo Reserves has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

CD Luis Angel Firpo Reserves AD Isidro Metapan Reserves

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home weakening

CD Luis Angel Firpo Reserves ↑ +0.50 (+18.0%)

AD Isidro Metapan Reserves = (0.0%)

The home price has moved clearly higher, while the away price has remained broadly stable.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.