Sao Jose EC U20 vs EC Juventude U20

12 Sep 2026 · 20:00

OPPORTUNITY

SLIGHT EDGE HOME +3.5 pp

Sao Jose EC U20

EC Juventude U20

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 25.8% DRAW 27.7% AWAY 46.5%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 22.3% 4.10 DRAW 26.9% 3.40 AWAY 50.8% 1.80

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet sees a slight edge for Sao Jose EC U20 relative to the market.

Our calibrated model estimates a 25.8% win probability, compared with 22.3% implied by the market. The 3.5 percentage-point difference suggests a modest divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Defensive Edge: Sao Jose EC U20

The home side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Sao Jose EC U20 EC Juventude U20

Shots 4.5 · On target 2.5 Shots 6.8 · On target 2.0

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Sao Jose EC U20 EC Juventude U20

Shots allowed 5.3 · On target allowed 1.0 Shots allowed 13.3 · On target allowed 3.8

Sao Jose EC U20 has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Sao Jose EC U20 EC Juventude U20

The combined recent performance profile favours Sao Jose EC U20.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Sao Jose EC U20 ↓ -0.05 (-1.1%)

EC Juventude U20 = (0.0%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.