Confianca U20 vs Itabaiana U20

12 Sep 2026 · 20:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.2 pp

Confianca U20

Itabaiana U20

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 60.2% DRAW 23.8% AWAY 16.0%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 59.0% 1.57 DRAW 24.4% 3.80 AWAY 16.6% 5.58

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.2 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Itabaiana U20

The home side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Confianca U20 Itabaiana U20

Shots 2.0 · On target 1.0 Shots 8.5 · On target 3.8

Recent attacking output favours Itabaiana U20, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Confianca U20 Itabaiana U20

Shots allowed 1.8 · On target allowed 0.8 Shots allowed 11.3 · On target allowed 4.8

Confianca U20 has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Confianca U20 Itabaiana U20

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away weakening

Confianca U20 ↓ -0.02 (-1.2%)

Itabaiana U20 ↑ +0.56 (+11.2%)

The away price has moved clearly higher, while the home price has remained broadly stable.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.