Lokomotiv Kyiv vs SC Poltava

12 Sep 2026 · 12:30

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.3 pp

Lokomotiv Kyiv

SC Poltava

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 23.2% DRAW 28.2% AWAY 48.6%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 24.4% 3.79 DRAW 28.4% 3.25 AWAY 47.3% 1.95

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.3 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: SC Poltava

The away side shows the stronger recent attacking profile, while the defensive comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Lokomotiv Kyiv SC Poltava

Shots 9.8 · On target 2.3 Shots 12.5 · On target 3.5

Recent attacking output favours SC Poltava, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Lokomotiv Kyiv SC Poltava

Shots allowed 9.8 · On target allowed 6.3 Shots allowed 9.8 · On target allowed 2.8

SC Poltava has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Lokomotiv Kyiv SC Poltava

The combined recent performance profile favours SC Poltava.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Lokomotiv Kyiv ↑ +0.04 (+0.9%)

SC Poltava ↑ +0.10 (+5.4%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.