IJsselmeervogels U21 vs Alphense Boys U21

12 Sep 2026 · 12:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.9 pp

IJsselmeervogels U21

Alphense Boys U21

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 67.9% DRAW 18.1% AWAY 14.0%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 68.4% 1.44 DRAW 18.6% 5.30 AWAY 13.0% 7.55

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.9 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Alphense Boys U21

Recent attacking and defensive numbers do not show a clear overall edge.

Attack Recent attacking output

IJsselmeervogels U21 Alphense Boys U21

Shots 10.5 · On target 6.5 Shots 18.8 · On target 6.8

Recent attacking output favours Alphense Boys U21, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

IJsselmeervogels U21 Alphense Boys U21

Shots allowed 14.0 · On target allowed 6.0 Shots allowed 18.3 · On target allowed 7.0

IJsselmeervogels U21 has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

IJsselmeervogels U21 Alphense Boys U21

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away weakening

IJsselmeervogels U21 ↓ -0.01 (-0.7%)

Alphense Boys U21 ↑ +2.35 (+45.2%)

The away price has moved clearly higher, while the home price has remained broadly stable.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.