2 de Mayo vs Sol de America

22 Sep 2026 · 23:30

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +2.1 pp

2 de Mayo

Sol de America

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 54.7% DRAW 24.8% AWAY 20.5%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 52.6% 1.75 DRAW 25.6% 3.60 AWAY 21.9% 4.21

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 2.1 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: 2 de Mayo

The home side shows the stronger recent attacking profile, while the defensive comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

2 de Mayo Sol de America

Shots 14.5 · On target 4.5 Shots 9.5 · On target 3.0

Recent attacking output favours 2 de Mayo, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

2 de Mayo Sol de America

Shots allowed 10.3 · On target allowed 3.5 Shots allowed 8.8 · On target allowed 4.3

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

2 de Mayo Sol de America

The combined recent performance profile favours 2 de Mayo.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away strengthening

2 de Mayo ↑ +0.10 (+6.1%)

Sol de America ↓ -1.05 (-19.9%)

The away price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the away side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.