CA 9 de Julio Rafaela vs CA Bartolome Mitre

13 Sep 2026 · 22:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.3 pp

CA 9 de Julio Rafaela

CA Bartolome Mitre

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 61.5% DRAW 26.6% AWAY 11.9%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 61.2% 1.51 DRAW 26.4% 3.50 AWAY 12.3% 7.50

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.3 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

CA 9 de Julio Rafaela has the stronger recent profile

The home side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

CA 9 de Julio Rafaela CA Bartolome Mitre

Shots 8.0 · On target 3.3 Shots 7.5 · On target 3.0

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

CA 9 de Julio Rafaela CA Bartolome Mitre

Shots allowed 8.8 · On target allowed 3.0 Shots allowed 10.8 · On target allowed 4.8

CA 9 de Julio Rafaela has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

CA 9 de Julio Rafaela CA Bartolome Mitre

The combined recent performance profile favours CA 9 de Julio Rafaela.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

CA 9 de Julio Rafaela ↑ +0.09 (+6.3%)

CA Bartolome Mitre ↑ +0.50 (+7.1%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.