Vancouver Rise FC (W) vs Ottawa Rapid FC (W)

13 Sep 2026 · 22:00

OPPORTUNITY

SLIGHT EDGE HOME +2.7 pp

Vancouver Rise FC (W)

Ottawa Rapid FC (W)

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 40.1% DRAW 21.8% AWAY 38.1%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 37.4% 2.50 DRAW 22.8% 4.10 AWAY 39.8% 2.35

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet sees a slight edge for Vancouver Rise FC (W) relative to the market.

Our calibrated model estimates a 40.1% win probability, compared with 37.4% implied by the market. The 2.7 percentage-point difference suggests a modest divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Defensive Edge: Vancouver Rise FC (W)

Recent attacking and defensive numbers do not show a clear overall edge.

Attack Recent attacking output

Vancouver Rise FC (W) Ottawa Rapid FC (W)

Shots 10.5 · On target 3.0 Shots 9.0 · On target 4.3

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Vancouver Rise FC (W) Ottawa Rapid FC (W)

Shots allowed 8.3 · On target allowed 3.8 Shots allowed 12.0 · On target allowed 4.0

Vancouver Rise FC (W) has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Vancouver Rise FC (W) Ottawa Rapid FC (W)

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home strengthening

Vancouver Rise FC (W) ↓ -0.25 (-9.1%)

Ottawa Rapid FC (W) ↑ +0.35 (+17.5%)

The home price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the home side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.