Fylkir Reykjavik vs HK Kopavogur

13 Sep 2026 · 21:15

OPPORTUNITY

SLIGHT EDGE HOME +3.6 pp

Fylkir Reykjavik

HK Kopavogur

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 55.6% DRAW 19.6% AWAY 24.8%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 52.0% 1.83 DRAW 21.2% 4.48 AWAY 26.8% 3.54

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet sees a slight edge for Fylkir Reykjavik relative to the market.

Our calibrated model estimates a 55.6% win probability, compared with 52.0% implied by the market. The 3.6 percentage-point difference suggests a modest divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Fylkir Reykjavik

The home side shows the stronger recent attacking profile, while the defensive comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Fylkir Reykjavik HK Kopavogur

Shots 17.0 · On target 8.8 Shots 13.3 · On target 6.0

Recent attacking output favours Fylkir Reykjavik, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Fylkir Reykjavik HK Kopavogur

Shots allowed 14.3 · On target allowed 6.0 Shots allowed 14.3 · On target allowed 6.5

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Fylkir Reykjavik HK Kopavogur

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away strengthening

Fylkir Reykjavik ↑ +0.16 (+9.6%)

HK Kopavogur ↓ -0.27 (-7.0%)

The away price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the away side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.