Puebla FC vs SD Pol

12 Sep 2026 · 18:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.8 pp

Puebla FC

SD Pol

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 45.5% DRAW 25.6% AWAY 28.9%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 44.7% 2.05 DRAW 26.2% 3.50 AWAY 29.2% 3.14

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.8 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: SD Pol

Recent attacking and defensive numbers do not show a clear overall edge.

Attack Recent attacking output

Puebla FC SD Pol

Shots 7.3 · On target 3.0 Shots 8.0 · On target 3.0

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Puebla FC SD Pol

Shots allowed 7.8 · On target allowed 2.0 Shots allowed 7.5 · On target allowed 3.0

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Puebla FC SD Pol

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Puebla FC = (0.0%)

SD Pol = (0.0%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.