SSD Ferentino Calcio vs Roma City

13 Sep 2026 · 11:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.6 pp

SSD Ferentino Calcio

Roma City

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 42.2% DRAW 28.5% AWAY 29.3%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 40.6% 2.26 DRAW 28.7% 3.20 AWAY 30.7% 2.99

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.6 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: SSD Ferentino Calcio

The home side shows the stronger recent attacking profile, while the defensive comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

SSD Ferentino Calcio Roma City

Shots 12.3 · On target 4.0 Shots 3.3 · On target 0.8

Recent attacking output favours SSD Ferentino Calcio, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

SSD Ferentino Calcio Roma City

Shots allowed 8.8 · On target allowed 3.5 Shots allowed 2.3 · On target allowed 1.3

Roma City has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

SSD Ferentino Calcio Roma City

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

SSD Ferentino Calcio ↑ +0.06 (+2.7%)

Roma City ↑ +0.12 (+4.1%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.