Fluminense U20 vs Botafogo RJ U20

16 Sep 2026 · 20:00

OPPORTUNITY

CLEAR EDGE AWAY +4.1 pp

Fluminense U20

Botafogo RJ U20

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 30.8% DRAW 35.8% AWAY 33.5%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 35.9% 2.70 DRAW 34.7% 2.80 AWAY 29.4% 3.30

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet rates Botafogo RJ U20 clearly higher than the market does.

Our calibrated model estimates a 33.5% win probability, compared with 29.4% implied by the market. The 4.1 percentage-point difference indicates a clear divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Botafogo RJ U20 has the stronger recent profile

The away side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Fluminense U20 Botafogo RJ U20

Shots 11.5 · On target 5.5 Shots 21.5 · On target 7.8

Recent attacking output favours Botafogo RJ U20, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Fluminense U20 Botafogo RJ U20

Shots allowed 10.5 · On target allowed 3.5 Shots allowed 7.5 · On target allowed 1.0

Botafogo RJ U20 has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Fluminense U20 Botafogo RJ U20

The combined recent performance profile favours Botafogo RJ U20.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home strengthening

Fluminense U20 ↓ -0.22 (-7.5%)

Botafogo RJ U20 ↑ +1.02 (+44.7%)

The home price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the home side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.