Energia Kozienice vs KS Lomianki

13 Sep 2026 · 13:00

OPPORTUNITY

SLIGHT EDGE HOME +3.1 pp

Energia Kozienice

KS Lomianki

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 52.8% DRAW 21.8% AWAY 25.4%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 49.8% 1.85 DRAW 23.0% 4.00 AWAY 27.2% 3.38

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet sees a slight edge for Energia Kozienice relative to the market.

Our calibrated model estimates a 52.8% win probability, compared with 49.8% implied by the market. The 3.1 percentage-point difference suggests a modest divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: KS Lomianki

The home side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Energia Kozienice KS Lomianki

Shots 0.8 · On target 0.8 Shots 7.8 · On target 4.0

Recent attacking output favours KS Lomianki, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Energia Kozienice KS Lomianki

Shots allowed 1.0 · On target allowed 1.0 Shots allowed 12.3 · On target allowed 6.3

Energia Kozienice has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Energia Kozienice KS Lomianki

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away weakening

Energia Kozienice = (0.0%)

KS Lomianki ↑ +0.28 (+9.0%)

The away price has moved clearly higher, while the home price has remained broadly stable.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.