Korona Kielce III vs Sparta Kazimierza Wielka

13 Sep 2026 · 12:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.5 pp

Korona Kielce III

Sparta Kazimierza Wielka

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 24.6% DRAW 24.2% AWAY 51.2%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 23.1% 4.01 DRAW 24.4% 3.80 AWAY 52.5% 1.76

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.5 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Mixed Performance

Recent attacking and defensive numbers do not show a clear overall edge.

Attack Recent attacking output

Korona Kielce III Sparta Kazimierza Wielka

Shots 8.8 · On target 5.0 Shots 8.8 · On target 3.3

Recent attacking output favours Korona Kielce III, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Korona Kielce III Sparta Kazimierza Wielka

Shots allowed 17.0 · On target allowed 5.0 Shots allowed 17.0 · On target allowed 3.8

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Korona Kielce III Sparta Kazimierza Wielka

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home weakening

Korona Kielce III ↑ +0.41 (+11.4%)

Sparta Kazimierza Wielka ↑ +0.01 (+0.7%)

The home price has moved clearly higher, while the away price has remained broadly stable.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.